A note on France's Presidential Election

France Presidential Election is going on as first round is over and Presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron won first round. The second round of election will be on 7^th May 2017. Emmanuel Macron is fighting election for the first time and he is the youngest leader in the history of France. Emmanuel Macron was Investment banker earlier. The second round of election will be between Emmanuel and Le Pen.

Political Pandits of France are predicting a win of Emmanuel over Le Pen

Emmanuel Macron Le Pen

Sentiments for market: If Emmanuel Macron will win the election then it will create a positive impact for world market, on the another side if Le Pen will win the election then a knee jerk reaction can be seen in the market. Market may trade volatile before the outcome of the result.

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India: Growth Slow Down (A note on GDP)

Indian economy slowed down significantly in the first quarter of FY2017, which is worst in last three years exactly the same years Modi government is in center. According to recently released data GDP expanded a weak 5.7% annually in Q1 FY 2017, which was sharply below the 6.1% increase in Q4 FY 2016. All those analyst who were forecasting a healthy growth rate now are vanished and our finance minister is accepting that this is a matter of concern. The probable reason of this slow down can be demonetization or implementation of GST. Export growth slowed notably from 10.3% in Q4 FY 2016 to 1.2% in FY 2017, the worst result since Q4 FY 2015. A strong rupee and confusion over the looming implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) likely weighed on the result. There are many evidence in which suggests that firms were not sure of how to price product, with some even providing pre-GST discounts, which likely caused disruption in economic activity. Meanwhile, import growth rose to...

Market update 22nd March

Market opened down by almost 70 points taking global cues as US stock sank yesterday. Market is expected to be negative for intraday session although a slight up move in afternoon session can not be ignored but sentiments remains negative.This correction was due in the market and for short term trader 8950 will act as a support for nifty on the another hand sentimental support is of 9000. The trading activity yesterday showed that the foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 1662.72 crore yesterday, 21 March 2017, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges. Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 798.57 crore yesterday, 21 March 2017, as per provisional data. 9170-9200 will act as a resistance zone. Stocks which will be in focus today: Dena Bank: Board approves raising of share capital by the bank, amounting to upto Rs 800 crore. Wockhardt: Drug firm, Wockhardt, has received approval from the US heath regulator to m...

What Macron’s Win In France Means For Emerging Markets And India

What Macron’s Win In France Means For Emerging Markets And India As result of France’s presidential election has already been announced and Emmanuel Macron won the election defeating Le Pen. Emmanuel Macron is the youngest president in the history of France. As market was expecting the same and the positive rally was already in cashed that’s why market has not reacted unexpectedly after the results. If Le Pen would had won then definitely a sell off rally was expected. Macron has sounded pro-business, consistently talking about labour and tax reforms as well as infrastructure spending. The equity markets love these terms. All French and EU focused businesses are likely to benefit, and there may well be a bit of an up-move in European equities in the first half of the week. Investors in emerging markets like India would be happy that the EU markets are now unlikely to see some vicious sell-off. This puts the focus back on domestic factors and the local triggers...

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